The Cook Political Report on Tuesday shifted Senate races in Georgia, Texas and Alaska, all with Republican incumbents, toward Democrats.
— Jessica Taylor (@JessicaTaylor) October 13, 2020
Cook changed its rating for Alaska’s Senate race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.” Sen. Dan SullivanDaniel Scott SullivanRepublican fears grow over rising Democratic tide The Hill’s Morning Report – Trump, first lady in quarantine after testing positive for COVID-19 GOP struggles to play defense on Trump’s ObamaCare lawsuit MORE (R-Alaska) is seeking reelection against Al Gross, an independent candidate backed by the state Democratic Party. Sullivan led by 4 points in the most recent survey, conducted Sept. 25-Oct. 4 by Alaska Survey Research, but the state has one of the least-polled Senate races.
In Texas, Cook also shifted the race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.” There, Sen. John CornynJohn CornynOvernight Health Care: Dems hone in on ObamaCare as Supreme Court hearings begin | Fauci on planned Trump rallies: ‘Now is even a worse time to do that’ | WHO chief calls herd immunity approach ‘simply unethical’ Democrats warn of ObamaCare threat from Barrett, Trump Gloves come off in Barrett confirmation hearing MORE (R) faces Air Force veteran and former congressional candidate M.J. Hegar. Cornyn leads the race by an average of 7.6 points, according to the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average.
Cook also shifted Georgia’s Senate special election from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.” Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerLoeffler unveils resolution condemning Pelosi for comments on 25th Amendment The Memo: Trump risks new backlash with COVID bravado Loeffler tweets edited video showing Trump taking down coronavirus in wrestling match MORE (R) is defending her seat in a race that includes Rep. Doug CollinsDouglas (Doug) Allen CollinsLoeffler unveils resolution condemning Pelosi for comments on 25th Amendment Congressional antitrust report rips tech firms for stifling competition Progressives call on Democrat Lieberman to drop out of Georgia Senate race MORE (R-Ga.) and Democratic candidates Raphael Warnock and Matt Lieberman. If no one reaches more than 50 percent of the vote, the top two will face a runoff on Jan. 5.
The Democratic vote in the election has largely consolidated around Warnock, a Baptist pastor who currently leads the field by 6.2 points in the RCP average of the race. Lieberman, who trails the other three candidates in most polling, has faced calls to drop out, but these have largely subsided since Warnock took the lead.
Georgia will also hold a standard Senate election for its other seat between incumbent Sen. David Perdue (R) and Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff.
Last week, the nonpartisan handicapper shifted the South Carolina Senate race from “lean Republican” in favor of incumbent Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamGraham lays groundwork for committee vote on Supreme Court pick Democrats warn of ObamaCare threat from Barrett, Trump Gloves come off in Barrett confirmation hearing MORE (R) to a “toss-up,” giving Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison a boost.
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